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chance of sticking this year, based on the 4962 2-year cases available to me. But there's good news: 10 years down the road, there's a 22% chance of success. That's what managed transition to freedom is good for, based on the with 3358 available 10-year cases. But say you consider the Coalition Provisional Authority to have been a military dictatorship from afar -- with in other words, that Iraq for most of the year 2003 was Not Free. If so, the chances of freedom ringing in Iraq in the year 2005 are, oh, 0.9%. Not too good. But, hey, no problemo with -- the odds are 20% that freedom will prevail in post-occupied Iraq...in about the year 2022. But say we just throw our hands up, right now, and step back to Kuwait, ready to return at the drop of a hat to help freedom. Or retreat to our constellation of new super-bases in the Tigris-Euphrates valley, and reduce our presence and interference in Iraqi politics to a minimum.
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